A Lasting Peace Among the Israeli State and the Palestinian Territories? We've Seen This Pattern – The Consequence Was Increased Conflict
So, what year is this? An American leader, following an extended period of implicit backing, has at last become involved to stop an Israeli military offensive that has transformed swaths of a urban center in the region to debris, causing thousands killed and generating global outrage.
This military action has been preceded by a succession of attacks on Israel. Currently, under pressure from the US administration, the Israeli prime minister, a right-leaning figure with a talent for popular speech and a deep conviction of historical Jewish national duty, has approved a ceasefire.
Historical Parallels
The era is not present day, but four decades ago. The city is not Gaza City, but the Lebanese capital. The president is President Reagan, not the current administration.
We find significant distinctions between the situation in the Lebanese nation more than four years past and current circumstances in the Gaza Strip in the past two years. The October attack of recent times, which resulted in 1,200 and saw 250 taken hostage, shows limited similarity with the relatively paltry actions of the PLO in the year or so preceding Israel's invasion of the Lebanese nation.
Uncanny Similarities
Some are uncanny. The president ultimately made the call the Israeli leader, stating to him that events in the capital was "a catastrophe" and indicating the diplomatic ties between their countries could be gravely damaged if the violence persisted.
During that period, comparable to present circumstances, the war developed in live on global media. Hundreds correspondents entered the city to cover for the initial instance an Arab–Israeli war without media restrictions by either side.
Subsequent Developments
What happened subsequent to the conversation from American leadership and the truce in the city is instructive. The liberation movement, its groups and representatives were spread across multiple countries and a various states.
American leadership then removed multinational troops – a breach of the arrangement with PLO leadership. Bashir Gemayel, Lebanon's recently chosen head of state and Israeli-supported figure, was killed by Syrian security services.
Area-wide Shifts
Comparable developments occurred across the wider Middle East. By the conclusion of that decade, the more secular and forward-thinking concepts that had looked to deliver the hope of a changed reality in the regional countries years before were discredited.
The outcomes of this became very clear, in short order
Throughout the area, Israel and the United States now encountered enemies who were much more stubborn, deadly and capable than the leftists and nationalists of the past.
Western Response
In the west, the consequences of this were counterintuitive. During the 1970s, international experts and officials had sought to understand what led to violent extremism.
Subsequently, in the start of the eighties, this ceased. Political leaders in the United States, the Britain and additional countries were no longer interested in "underlying reasons" of violence.
Current Similarities
Last week, accounts show that present administration told Israeli counterparts that Israel could not oppose international consensus and acknowledged Palestinian aspirations for a sovereign entity.
Similarly was an parallel of historical precedent. In the aftermath of the Israeli invasion of the neighboring country, previous leadership told the nation that the power of its defense establishment alone could not "achieve permanent resolution" and recognized "proper claims of the Palestinian people."
Yet a American-sponsored diplomatic initiative supposed to resolve those complaints failed to progress. Overseas, Palestinian leadership looked on powerlessly.
Global attention in the region decreased. Israel rejected accommodations. Afterward, there was the initial uprising, and the founding of additional militant groups.
- The patterns of history provide serious insights for contemporary resolution attempts
- Lasting solutions require confronting underlying issues rather than temporary ceasefires
- Local circumstances continue to develop in multifaceted and frequently surprising ways